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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

FC Emmen

T T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Almere City

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen Almere City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 37/5 matches

Win Ø 31%

22%

40%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

54%

20%

Both score Ø 57%

54%

60%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

13 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	34	25	7	2	+51	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	34	23	6	5	+49	75
3	Twente	34	21	8	5	+46	71
4	Ajax	34	20	9	5	+48	69
5	AZ Alkmaar	34	20	7	7	+33	67
6	Sparta Rotterdam	34	18	7	9	+27	61
7	Utrecht	34	14	9	11	+0	51
8	Heerenveen	34	11	9	14	-12	42
9	Waalwijk	34	11	8	15	-14	41
10	Vitesse	34	10	10	14	-5	40
11	Go Ahead Eagles	34	10	10	14	-10	40
12	Nijmegen	34	8	15	11	-3	39
13	For Sittard	34	10	6	18	-23	36
14	Volendam	34	10	6	18	-29	36
15	FC Emmen	37	8	10	19	-31	34
16	Excelsior	34	9	5	20	-39	32
17	Cambuur	34	5	4	25	-43	19
18	Groningen	34	4	6	24	-44	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	17	15	2	0	+40	47
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	14	2	1	+40	44
3	Feyenoord	17	12	4	1	+27	40
4	Ajax	17	10	5	2	+33	35
5	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	5	3	+16	32
6	Sparta Rotterdam	17	10	2	5	+16	32
7	Waalwijk	17	9	3	5	+8	30
8	Volendam	17	9	1	7	-3	28
9	Go Ahead Eagles	17	7	6	4	+5	27
10	Utrecht	17	7	5	5	+2	26
11	Excelsior	17	8	2	7	-4	26
12	Vitesse	17	5	6	6	-1	21
13	FC Emmen	18	4	9	5	-5	21
14	For Sittard	17	5	4	8	-7	19
15	Nijmegen	17	3	9	5	+0	18
16	Heerenveen	17	5	3	9	-7	18
17	Groningen	17	3	3	11	-14	12
18	Cambuur	17	3	0	14	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	13	3	1	+24	42
2	AZ Alkmaar	17	11	2	4	+17	35
3	Ajax	17	10	4	3	+15	34
4	PSV Eindhoven	17	9	4	4	+9	31
5	Sparta Rotterdam	17	8	5	4	+11	29
6	Utrecht	17	7	4	6	-2	25
7	Twente	17	6	6	5	+6	24
8	Heerenveen	17	6	6	5	-5	24
9	Nijmegen	17	5	6	6	-3	21
10	Vitesse	17	5	4	8	-4	19
11	For Sittard	17	5	2	10	-16	17
12	Go Ahead Eagles	17	3	4	10	-15	13
13	FC Emmen	19	4	1	14	-26	13
14	Waalwijk	17	2	5	10	-22	11
15	Cambuur	17	2	4	11	-24	10
16	Volendam	17	1	5	11	-26	8
17	Groningen	17	1	3	13	-30	6
18	Excelsior	17	1	3	13	-35	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.