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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schüttengruber
5–0
Full-time
A. Lustenau
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna A. Lustenau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 33/34 matches
Win Ø 34%
33%
35%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
76%
56%
Both score Ø 68%
73%
62%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
7 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Austria Vienna 5. · A. Lustenau 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 32 23 8 1 +45 77
2 Sturm Graz 32 20 6 6 +28 66
3 LASK 32 14 12 6 +16 54
4 A. Lustenau 34 12 11 11 -3 47
5 Austria Vienna 33 11 11 11 +3 44
6 SK Rapid 32 12 6 14 +3 42
7 Wolfsberger AC 33 12 6 15 -1 42
8 Tirol 32 10 8 14 -9 38
9 A. Klagenfurt 32 11 5 16 -18 38
10 Hartberg 32 9 6 17 -17 33
11 Altach 32 6 10 16 -24 28
12 Ried 32 4 11 17 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna A. Lustenau
17′
🟥 Jean Hugonet
17′
ℹ️ Jean Hugonet
VAR: Card upgrade
1–0 M. Fischer
19′
40′
🟨 Lukas Fridrikas
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Fischer
H. Tabaković
46′
Marvin Martins 🟨
56′
57′
🔁 Adriel
↦ D. Tiefenbach
57′
🔁 F. Gmeiner
↦ T. Berger
3–0 H. Tabaković
N. Dovedan
61′
M. Baltaxa 🔁
↦ M. Polster
67′
D. Fitz 🔁
↦ A. Jukić
67′
69′
🔁 T. Rhein
↦ S. Surdanović
69′
🔁 N. Motika
↦ Y. Diaby
M. Braunöder 🔁
↦ M. Fischer
74′
A. Gruber 🔁
↦ N. Dovedan
74′
78′
🔁 C. Türkmen
↦ M. Maak
G. Teigl 🔁
↦ R. Ranftl
81′
83′
🟨 Adriel
4–0 D. Fitz
A. Gruber
84′
5–0 A. Gruber
D. Fitz
86′
Matthias Braunöder 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Cem Türkmen
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

3-4-2-1
1 C. Früchtl G
20 L. Mühl D
66 M. Martins D
40 M. Meisl D
26 R. Ranftl M
8 J. Holland M
77 A. Jukić M
11 M. Polster M
30 M. Fischer F
10 N. Dovedan F
25 H. Tabaković F
Bench (7)
5 M. Baltaxa
36 D. Fitz
23 M. Braunöder
17 A. Gruber
39 G. Teigl
99 M. Kos
3 Lucas Galvão

Coach: M. Wimmer

A. Lustenau

3-4-1-2
27 D. Schierl G
31 M. Maak D
5 J. Hugonet D
6 D. Grujčić D
28 Anderson M
33 D. Tiefenbach M
23 P. Grabher M
4 T. Berger M
70 S. Surdanović F
22 Y. Diaby F
20 L. Fridrikas F
Bench (7)
35 Adriel
7 F. Gmeiner
16 T. Rhein
10 N. Motika
8 C. Türkmen
14 H. Koudossou
13 A. Helac

Coach: M. Mader

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Schüttengruber · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.