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Serie B

Referee: M Guida

Bari

S T T S U

0–1

Full-time

Cagliari

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 41/42 matches

Win Ø 42%

44%

40%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

37%

40%

Both score Ø 52%

49%

55%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

6 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 3. · Cagliari 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	38	24	8	6	+37	80
2	Genoa	38	21	11	6	+25	74
3	Bari	41	18	15	8	+21	69
4	Cagliari	42	17	17	8	+18	68
5	Sudtirol	41	16	16	9	+5	64
6	Parma	40	17	11	12	+8	62
7	Reggina	39	17	4	18	+3	55
8	Venezia	39	13	10	16	+0	49
9	Palermo	38	11	16	11	-1	49
10	Modena	38	13	9	16	-6	48
11	Pisa	38	11	14	13	+6	47
12	Como	38	10	17	11	-1	47
13	Ascoli	38	12	11	15	-7	47
14	Cosenza	40	10	14	16	-22	44
15	Cittadella	38	9	16	13	-11	43
16	Ternana	38	11	10	17	-15	43
17	Brescia	40	9	14	17	-22	41
18	Perugia	38	10	9	19	-12	39
19	Spal	38	8	14	16	-10	38
20	Benevento	38	7	14	17	-16	35

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cagliari	22	13	7	2	+13	46
2	Frosinone	19	14	3	2	+24	45
3	Genoa	19	12	6	1	+19	42
4	Parma	20	11	3	6	+10	36
5	Sudtirol	21	8	10	3	+5	34
6	Bari	20	8	9	3	+12	33
7	Palermo	19	8	8	3	+8	32
8	Reggina	19	10	2	7	+6	32
9	Como	19	8	7	4	+8	31
10	Cosenza	20	8	7	5	+3	31
11	Modena	19	7	8	4	+8	29
12	Ternana	19	8	5	6	+0	29
13	Pisa	19	7	5	7	+6	26
14	Venezia	19	7	5	7	+2	26
15	Brescia	20	6	7	7	-5	25
16	Ascoli	19	6	6	7	-2	24
17	Perugia	19	6	6	7	-4	24
18	Cittadella	19	5	8	6	-3	23
19	Spal	19	4	7	8	-2	19
20	Benevento	19	4	6	9	-9	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	21	10	6	5	+9	36
2	Frosinone	19	10	5	4	+13	35
3	Genoa	19	9	5	5	+6	32
4	Sudtirol	20	8	6	6	+0	30
5	Parma	20	6	8	6	-2	26
6	Venezia	20	6	5	9	-2	23
7	Reggina	20	7	2	11	-3	23
8	Ascoli	19	6	5	8	-5	23
9	Cagliari	20	4	10	6	+5	22
10	Pisa	19	4	9	6	+0	21
11	Cittadella	19	4	8	7	-8	20
12	Spal	19	4	7	8	-8	19
13	Modena	19	6	1	12	-14	19
14	Benevento	19	3	8	8	-7	17
15	Palermo	19	3	8	8	-9	17
16	Como	19	2	10	7	-9	16
17	Brescia	20	3	7	10	-17	16
18	Perugia	19	4	3	12	-8	15
19	Ternana	19	3	5	11	-15	14
20	Cosenza	20	2	7	11	-25	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.