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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno Miguel Duarte Paixao

Portimonense

S T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Feirense

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Feirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

0,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

80%

33%

Both score Ø 65%

80%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%

18 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Portimonense 17. · Feirense 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Sp Lisbon	6	6	0	0	+12	18
3	Maritimo	6	5	0	1	+4	15
4	Benfica	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Sp Braga	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Feirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Belenenses	6	2	1	3	-5	7
9	Guimaraes	6	2	1	3	-7	7
10	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	3	2	+0	6
11	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-2	6
13	Estoril	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Tondela	6	1	2	3	-1	5
15	Moreirense	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Aves	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Portimonense	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Chaves	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Maritimo	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Belenenses	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	-3	6
10	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Feirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Aves	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Tondela	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Benfica	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Sp Braga	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Estoril	4	1	0	3	-5	3
11	Aves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Chaves	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Guimaraes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Boavista	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Portimonense	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Belenenses	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.