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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Oliveira

Moreirense

T T T T S

1–1

Full-time

Belenenses

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 5

22 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 12. · Belenenses 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Feirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Porto	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Chaves	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Santa Clara	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Tondela	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Aves	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Porto	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.