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Primeira Liga
Referee: Antonio Nobre
Nacional
T U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Moreirense
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nacional Moreirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
17 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 25
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nacional 15. · Moreirense 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Porto 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Feirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Vitoria Setubal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Maritimo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Boavista 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Chaves 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Tondela 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Aves 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Guimaraes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Nacional 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Portimonense 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nacional Moreirense
8′
Pedro Nuno 0–1
Ruben Lima
17′
🟨 Mohamed Abarhoun
23′
🟨 João Aurélio
39′
🔁 A. D'Alberto
↦ Ruben Lima
45′
🟨 Loum N'Diaye Ndiaye
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Witi
João Camacho
50′
61′
Heriberto Tavares 1–2
Neto
B. Riascos 🔁
↦ Arthur Henrique
63′
65′
🔁 Nenê
↦ Chiquinho
G. Arabidze 🔁
↦ B. Rochez
71′
79′
🔁 Fabio Pacheco
↦ Pedro Nuno
K. Gorré 🔁
↦ Witi
82′
84′
🟨 Jhonatan
90′
🟨 Ivanildo Fernandes
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nacional

4-4-2
13 Daniel G
4 Diogo Coelho D
2 Nuno Campos D
5 Mauro Cerqueira D
3 Arthur Henrique D
80 Vítor Gonçalves M
8 Jota M
6 A. Alhassan M
35 B. Rochez F
19 João Camacho M
23 Witi M
Bench (7)
18 B. Riascos
7 G. Arabidze
11 K. Gorré
26 A. Paločević
22 Kalindi
1 O. Framelin
37 Felipe Lopes

Coach: Costinha

Moreirense

4-4-2
18 Jhonatan G
5 Ruben Lima D
2 João Aurélio D
3 M. Aberhoune D
14 Ivanildo Fernandes D
91 Neto M
10 B. Aouacheria M
27 Pedro Nuno M
22 Chiquinho M
31 M. Ndiaye M
73 Heriberto Tavares M
Bench (7)
82 A. D'Alberto
11 Nenê
6 Fabio Pacheco
4 Iago Santos
8 Alan Schons
77 Arsénio
88 Pedro Trigueira

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.