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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Belenenses

U T S T S

2–3

Full-time

Porto

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Belenenses 7. · Porto 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Chaves	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.