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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Tondela
U S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Belenenses
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Belenenses
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
18 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Tondela Belenenses
Half-time 0–1
54′
Fredy 0–1
Diogo Viana
J. Murillo 🔁
↦ J. Delgado
56′
S. Peña 🔁
↦ Bruno Monteiro
56′
66′
🔁 P. Sagna
↦ Diogo Viana
Ricardo Costa 🟨
67′
70′
🔁 Licá
↦ Z. Bergdich
71′
🟨 Nuno Coelho
75′
🔁 Dálcio
↦ M. Ljujić
António Xavier 🔁
↦ Miguel Cardoso
79′
Ricardo Costa 🟨
90′
Ricardo Costa 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Muriel
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tondela

4-4-2
1 Cláudio Ramos G
20 Ricardo Costa D
22 David Bruno D
23 Joãozinho D
44 Jorge Fernandes D
27 Bruno Monteiro M
8 Hélder Tavares M
19 Tómané F
15 J. Delgado M
70 C. Arango F
11 Miguel Cardoso M
Bench (7)
14 J. Murillo
16 S. Peña
7 António Xavier
10 Pité
17 João Reis
28 Pedro Silva
99 P. Sabbag

Coach: Pepa

Belenenses

4-3-3
1 Muriel G
6 V. Sasso D
21 Z. Bergdich D
37 Gonçalo Silva D
67 Reinildo D
66 Nuno Coelho M
11 M. Ljujić M
47 Jonatan M
16 Fredy F
10 Diogo Viana M
50 A. Keita F
Bench (7)
12 P. Sagna
7 Licá
8 Dálcio
17 Henrique Almeida
25 Nuno Tomás
39 Mika
70 Filipe Chaby

Coach: Silas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
35,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.