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Pro League
Waregem
T S S T S
4–0
Full-time
St Truiden
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 7/10 matches
Win Ø 54%
57%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 68%
86%
50%
Average goals
4,4
2,4
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
2,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Waregem 7. · St Truiden 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Gent 8 5 3 0 +8 18
3 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
4 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
5 St Truiden 10 5 1 4 +4 16
6 Genk 8 5 0 3 +1 15
7 Waregem 7 4 0 3 +1 12
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 3 3 4 +0 12
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 3 3 6 -5 12
10 Beveren 9 4 0 5 -6 12
11 Westerlo 13 2 5 6 -9 11
12 Charleroi 7 2 3 2 +1 9
13 Mechelen 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Kortrijk 8 1 4 3 -2 7
15 Lokeren 11 2 1 8 -8 7
16 Standard 9 2 1 6 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem St Truiden
1–0 M. Leye
M. Thiam
11′
B. Godeau 🔁
↦ K. Essikal
25′
2–0 C. Lepoint
B. Godeau
34′
J. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ C. DUlivo
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 H. Momi
↦ C. Cuevas
77′
🔁 J. Dompé
↦ M. Bagayoko
3–0 S. De Ridder
O. Kaya
80′
J. Benteke 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
82′
84′
🔁 J. Rodríguez
↦ Edmilson Junior
4–0 C. Aneke
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Waregem

1 S. Bossut
2 C. D'Ulivo
3 M. Baudry
4 A. Diallo
34 O. Kaya
10 S. De Ridder
23 C. Lepoint
26 C. Aneke
35 K. Essikal
9 M. Leye
7 M. Thiam
Bench (7)
21 B. Godeau
8 J. Jørgensen
15 J. Benteke
11 S. Buyl
22 K. Steppe
29 A. Cordaro
42 N. Storm

St Truiden

28 W. Dutoît
26 Ruben Fernandes
18 M. Bagayoko
5 Alfonso Artabe
24 S. Nirisarike
8 F. Rherras
25 Y. Ono
15 C. Cuevas
16 R. Schoofs
22 Edmilson Junior
11 Y. Boli
Bench (7)
20 H. Momi
10 J. Dompé
30 J. Rodríguez
1 Y. De Winter
6 G. Hendrickx
14 N. Gerits
21 M. Schils

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.