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Pro League
Standard
T U T T S
2–1
Full-time
Mechelen
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 89%
89%
89%
Both score Ø 89%
89%
89%
Average goals
4,0
3,9
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Standard 16. · Mechelen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Gent 8 5 3 0 +8 18
3 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
4 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
5 St Truiden 10 5 1 4 +4 16
6 Genk 8 5 0 3 +1 15
7 Waregem 7 4 0 3 +1 12
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 3 3 4 +0 12
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 3 3 6 -5 12
10 Beveren 9 4 0 5 -6 12
11 Westerlo 13 2 5 6 -9 11
12 Charleroi 7 2 3 2 +1 9
13 Mechelen 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Kortrijk 8 1 4 3 -2 7
15 Lokeren 11 2 1 8 -8 7
16 Standard 9 2 1 6 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Mechelen
1–0 A. Knockaert
S. Yatabaré
5′
2–0 M. Yattara
A. Trebel
23′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Vanlerberghe
↦ T. Matthys
46′
🔁 G. Claes
↦ D. Veselinović
R. Emond 🔁
↦ M. Yattara
68′
72′
🔁 R. Wolski
↦ S. De Petter
C. Brüls 🔁
↦ B. Badibanga
75′
B. Tetteh 🔁
↦ A. Knockaert
82′
92′
M. Kosanović 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Standard

28 G. Hubert
2 R. Goreux
5 Jorge Teixeira
36 D. Arslanagic
24 C. Fiore
17 M. Dossevi
60 S. Yatabaré
23 A. Trebel
12 B. Badibanga
7 A. Knockaert
10 M. Yattara
Bench (7)
9 R. Emond
14 C. Brüls
11 B. Tetteh
6 M. Milec
22 A. Lejoly
27 D. Andrade
30 J. Legear

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
3 V. Volkov
4 S. De Witte
15 E. Cocalić
33 M. Kosanović
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
44 I. Cissé
9 D. Veselinović
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
30 J. Vanlerberghe
77 G. Claes
10 R. Wolski
8 R. Leal
11 M. Rits
20 J. Van Damme
32 C. Coosemans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.