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Pro League
1–0
Full-time
St Truiden
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13. · St Truiden 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 5 3 1 1 +4 10
2 Oostende 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Anderlecht 3 3 0 0 +4 9
4 Club Brugge 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Genk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Mechelen 4 2 0 2 -2 6
7 Gent 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Westerlo 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Charleroi 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Waregem 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Beveren 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Standard 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 1 0 4 -4 3
14 Kortrijk 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Lokeren 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St Truiden
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Trossard
P. Monteyne
51′
61′
🔁 M. Lazaar
↦ Y. Mbombo
T. Azevedo 🔁
↦ J. Remacle
71′
72′
🔁 P. Baherlé
↦ Y. Ono
K. Houdret 🔁
↦ J. Bostock
74′
80′
🔁 J. Rodríguez
↦ V. Angban
S. Asamoah 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
83′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
4 R. Reynaud
5 P. Ngawa
16 K. Rougkalas
8 F. Le Postollec
15 J. Bostock
10 Y. Croizet
7 J. Remacle
9 R. Regales
19 L. Trossard
Bench (7)
14 T. Azevedo
12 K. Houdret
22 S. Asamoah
1 Y. Lenaerts
3 D. Vandenbroeck
20 D. Sula
25 N. Delporte

St Truiden

28 W. Dutoît
18 M. Bagayoko
19 Y. Erichot
5 Alfonso Artabe
8 F. Rherras
25 Y. Ono
16 R. Schoofs
22 Edmilson Junior
10 J. Dompé
29 V. Angban
9 Y. Mbombo
Bench (7)
7 M. Lazaar
4 P. Baherlé
30 J. Rodríguez
1 Y. De Winter
15 C. Cuevas
21 M. Schils
24 S. Nirisarike

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.