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Pro League
Mechelen
S U U T U
3–4
Full-time
Waregem
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 94%
88%
100%
Both score Ø 86%
88%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mechelen 12. · Waregem 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
4 Gent 7 4 3 0 +7 15
5 Genk 8 5 0 3 +1 15
6 St Truiden 9 4 1 4 +3 13
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 3 3 5 -3 12
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 3 2 4 +0 11
9 Westerlo 11 2 4 5 -8 10
10 Charleroi 6 2 3 1 +2 9
11 Waregem 6 3 0 3 +0 9
12 Mechelen 8 2 3 3 -4 9
13 Beveren 8 3 0 5 -8 9
14 Kortrijk 7 1 4 2 -1 7
15 Lokeren 9 1 1 7 -8 4
16 Standard 8 1 1 6 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Waregem
1–0 S. De Petter
D. Veselinović
7′
16′
M. Thiam 1–1
2–1 S. Hanni
N. Verdier
35′
44′
M. Baudry 2–2
Half-time 2–3
50′
S. De Ridder 2–3
L. Paulussen 🔁
↦ I. Cissé
63′
3–3 S. Hanni
66′
70′
M. Thiam 3–4
K. Essikal
81′
🔁 O. Kaya
↦ A. Cordaro
R. Leal 🔁
↦ T. Matthys
83′
93′
🔁 J. Benteke
↦ S. Buyl
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
3 V. Volkov
4 S. De Witte
15 E. Cocalić
33 M. Kosanović
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
44 I. Cissé
9 D. Veselinović
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
2 L. Paulussen
8 R. Leal
11 M. Rits
20 J. Van Damme
30 J. Vanlerberghe
77 G. Claes
28 A. Moris

Waregem

1 S. Bossut
2 C. D'Ulivo
3 M. Baudry
4 A. Diallo
29 A. Cordaro
10 S. De Ridder
23 C. Lepoint
26 C. Aneke
11 S. Buyl
35 K. Essikal
7 M. Thiam
Bench (7)
34 O. Kaya
15 J. Benteke
5 B. Verboom
8 J. Jørgensen
20 F. Mendy
22 K. Steppe
42 N. Storm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.