Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Westerlo
Oostende
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |
Oostende
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 |
Gent
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |
St Truiden
|
14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 |
Genk
|
10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 |
Waregem
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |
Charleroi
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 9 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |
Beveren
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 16 |
| 11 |
Standard
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 16 |
| 12 |
Mechelen
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 |
Kortrijk
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 12 |
| 15 |
Westerlo
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -16 | 12 |
| 16 |
Lokeren
|
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Milić
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Gent
Westerlo
Beveren
Westerlo
Westerlo
Club Brugge
Royal Excel Mouscron
Westerlo
Westerlo
Lokeren
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.