Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Anderlecht
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oostende
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 |
Gent
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 |
Club Brugge
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |
St Truiden
|
14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 |
Genk
|
10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 |
Waregem
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |
Charleroi
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 9 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |
Beveren
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 16 |
| 11 |
Standard
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 16 |
| 12 |
Mechelen
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 |
Kortrijk
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -14 | 12 |
| 15 |
Westerlo
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -16 | 12 |
| 16 |
Lokeren
|
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Nuytinck
D. Praet
L. Trossard
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Standard
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Royal Excel Mouscron
Kortrijk
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Mechelen
Anderlecht
St Truiden
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.