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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Leverkusen
U S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 8. · Schalke 04 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 13 1 0 +37 40
2 Dortmund 14 10 2 2 +21 32
3 Wolfsburg 13 7 3 3 +8 24
4 M'gladbach 14 7 2 5 +6 23
5 Hertha 14 7 2 5 +1 23
6 Hamburg 14 6 3 5 -1 21
7 Mainz 14 6 2 6 +0 20
8 Leverkusen 13 6 2 5 +0 20
9 Schalke 04 13 6 2 5 -2 20
10 FC Koln 14 5 5 4 -3 20
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 14 5 4 5 -4 19
12 Darmstadt 14 3 6 5 -5 15
13 Ein Frankfurt 14 3 5 6 -4 14
14 Hannover 14 4 2 8 -7 14
15 Werder Bremen 14 4 1 9 -14 13
16 Stuttgart 14 3 1 10 -17 10
17 Augsburg 13 2 3 8 -8 9
18 Hoffenheim 14 1 6 7 -8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Schalke 04
Jonathan Tah 🟨
8′
38′
🟨 Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
Half-time 0–0
J. Brandt 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
46′
50′
E. Choupo-Moting 0–1
L. Goretzka
S. Kießling 🔁
↦ A. Mehmedi
57′
Wendell 🔁
↦ S. Boenisch
69′
75′
🟨 Leon Goretzka
78′
🔁 S. Kolašinac
↦ L. Goretzka
83′
🔁 R. Neustädter
↦ P. Højbjerg
0–2 S. Riether
own goal
85′
88′
🔁 F. Di Santo
↦ M. Meyer
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

1 B. Leno G
17 S. Boenisch
21 Ö. Toprak D
26 G. Donati D
4 J. Tah D
38 K. Bellarabi M
44 K. Kampl M
23 C. Kramer M
14 A. Mehmedi M
7 J. Hernández F
10 H. Çalhanoğlu F
Bench (7)
19 J. Brandt
11 S. Kießling
18 Wendell
2 André Ramalho
5 K. Papadopoulos
25 D. Kresic
35 V. Yurchenko

Schalke 04

1 R. Fährmann G
4 B. Höwedes D
27 S. Riether D
32 J. Matip D
15 D. Aogo M
23 P. Højbjerg M
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
19 L. Sané F
25 K. Huntelaar F
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
Bench (7)
6 S. Kolašinac
33 R. Neustädter
9 F. Di Santo
2 M. Friedrich
3 Júnior Caiçara
24 K. Ayhan
30 M. Gspurning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.