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Pro League
0–1
Full-time
Charleroi
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
71%
54%
Both score Ø 67%
71%
62%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 12. · Charleroi 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gent 13 9 3 1 +18 30
2 Oostende 14 9 3 2 +16 30
3 Club Brugge 13 9 1 3 +19 28
4 Anderlecht 11 7 3 1 +10 24
5 Genk 12 7 1 4 +4 22
6 St Truiden 17 7 1 9 -5 22
7 Waregem 13 6 3 4 +5 21
8 Charleroi 13 5 4 4 +3 19
9 Standard 15 6 1 8 -11 19
10 Mechelen 16 5 3 8 -8 18
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 5 3 12 -10 18
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 4 4 6 -2 16
13 Beveren 14 5 1 8 -9 16
14 Westerlo 20 3 7 10 -20 16
15 Lokeren 14 4 2 8 -4 14
16 Kortrijk 13 2 6 5 -6 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi
21′
J. Perbet 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Frederic Maciel 🔁
↦ L. Vaccaro
46′
56′
🔁 D. N'Dongala
↦ D. Pollet
Tozé Marreco 🔁
↦ D. Mohamed
68′
80′
🔁 F. Stevance
↦ J. Perbet
C. Manea 🔁
↦ N. Aksentijević
82′
87′
🔁 R. Ferber
↦ E. Sağlık
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
13 N. Aksentijević
26 L. Vaccaro
19 T. Dingome
11 D. Mohamed
8 F. Marquet
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
Bench (7)
27 Frederic Maciel
90 Tozé Marreco
55 C. Manea
7 Y. Boumediene
9 A. Badri
12 T. Rausin
15 E. Dautovič

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
7 C. Tainmont
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
28 E. Sağlık
19 Clinton Mata
21 J. Perbet
10 D. Pollet
Bench (7)
88 D. N'Dongala
9 F. Stevance
45 R. Ferber
3 S. Willems
6 G. Zajkov
15 V. Baume
20 J. Gálvez López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.