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Pro League
St Truiden
T S T S T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 36%
46%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
54%
75%
Both score Ø 61%
46%
75%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match St Truiden 5. · Royal Excel Mouscron 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 11 7 3 1 +13 24
2 Gent 11 7 3 1 +13 24
3 Club Brugge 10 7 1 2 +17 22
4 Anderlecht 10 6 3 1 +9 21
5 St Truiden 13 6 1 6 +0 19
6 Genk 10 6 0 4 +1 18
7 Waregem 11 5 2 4 +4 17
8 Charleroi 10 4 4 2 +4 16
9 Beveren 13 5 1 7 -8 16
10 Standard 13 5 1 7 -10 16
11 Mechelen 13 4 3 6 -4 15
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 3 4 5 -2 13
13 Kortrijk 11 2 6 3 -1 12
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 3 3 10 -14 12
15 Westerlo 16 2 6 8 -16 12
16 Lokeren 12 3 1 8 -6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Royal Excel Mouscron
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Oussalah
↦ Frederic Maciel
H. Momi 🔁
↦ M. Tchité
65′
M. Mahlangu 🔁
↦ Y. Ono
72′
81′
A. Badri 0–1
M. Šćepović
J. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ G. Hendrickx
87′
87′
🔁 M. Jakoliš
↦ M. Šćepović
92′
🔁 L. Vaccaro
↦ A. Badri
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

28 W. Dutoît
26 Ruben Fernandes
19 Y. Erichot
8 F. Rherras
25 Y. Ono
15 C. Cuevas
16 R. Schoofs
29 V. Angban
6 G. Hendrickx
22 Edmilson Junior
9 M. Tchité
Bench (7)
20 H. Momi
4 M. Mahlangu
30 J. Rodríguez
1 Y. De Winter
18 M. Bagayoko
21 M. Schils
24 S. Nirisarike

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
24 N. Gulan
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
13 N. Aksentijević
5 D. Hubert
9 A. Badri
8 F. Marquet
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
27 Frederic Maciel
Bench (7)
25 M. Oussalah
17 M. Jakoliš
26 L. Vaccaro
11 D. Mohamed
23 M. Tirpan
33 T. Defourmy
90 Tozé Marreco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.