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Pro League
Gent
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 16/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
69%
21%
Points per game
2,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 2. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 13 1 3 +27 40
2 Gent 16 11 3 2 +20 36
3 Oostende 18 10 5 3 +16 35
4 Anderlecht 16 10 5 1 +13 35
5 Genk 15 9 2 4 +6 29
6 St Truiden 21 8 2 11 -6 26
7 Waregem 16 7 4 5 +5 25
8 Charleroi 16 7 4 5 +4 25
9 Standard 19 8 1 10 -11 25
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 25 6 6 13 -11 24
11 Mechelen 20 6 5 9 -7 23
12 Westerlo 25 5 8 12 -20 23
13 Lokeren 20 5 4 11 -7 19
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 4 6 9 -7 18
15 Beveren 19 5 3 11 -12 18
16 Kortrijk 18 3 7 8 -10 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Royal Excel Mouscron
M. Boussoufa 🔁
↦ M. Simon
28′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 D. Mohamed
↦ J. Michel
67′
🔁 V. Viola
↦ F. Marković
D. Miličević 🔁
↦ L. Deaux
68′
78′
🔁 T. Mézague
↦ M. Oussalah
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ T. Matton
84′
1–0 M. Boussoufa
85′
2–0 D. Miličević
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
13 S. Mitrović
23 L. Nielsen
18 L. Deaux
8 T. Matton
14 S. Kums
19 B. Dejaegere
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
27 M. Simon
Bench (7)
6 M. Boussoufa
77 D. Miličević
7 K. Coulibaly
4 Rafinha
10 Renato Neto
25 B. Vandenbussche
15 K. Saief

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
13 N. Aksentijević
26 L. Vaccaro
15 J. Castelletto
29 T. Peyre
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
9 A. Badri
18 F. Marković
Bench (7)
11 D. Mohamed
16 V. Viola
6 T. Mézague
12 T. Rausin
21 S. Amallah
27 Frederic Maciel
98 F. Olinga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.