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Pro League
1–1
Full-time
Lokeren
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
25%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
69%
47%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
59%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 15. · Lokeren 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 15 11 1 3 +25 34
2 Oostende 16 9 4 3 +15 31
3 Gent 14 9 3 2 +16 30
4 Anderlecht 13 8 4 1 +11 28
5 Genk 13 7 2 4 +4 23
6 St Truiden 19 7 2 10 -6 23
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 6 5 12 -9 23
8 Waregem 14 6 4 4 +5 22
9 Charleroi 14 6 4 4 +4 22
10 Mechelen 19 6 4 9 -7 22
11 Standard 16 7 1 8 -9 22
12 Westerlo 23 5 7 11 -19 22
13 Lokeren 17 5 3 9 -5 18
14 Beveren 16 5 2 9 -10 17
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 4 4 8 -6 16
16 Kortrijk 16 3 6 7 -9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Lokeren
Half-time 0–1
50′
H. Harbaoui 0–1
K. Overmeire
A. Badri 🔁
↦ F. Marković
57′
F. Mulić 🔁
↦ M. Šćepović
57′
65′
🔁 B. Ňinaj
↦ João Carlos
V. Viola 🔁
↦ M. Oussalah
69′
84′
🔁 B. Abdurahimi
↦ Jajá
1–1 F. Mulić
A. Badri
89′
90′
🔁 D. Melnjak
↦ M. Tičinović
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
13 N. Aksentijević
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
11 D. Mohamed
8 F. Marquet
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
Bench (7)
9 A. Badri
45 F. Mulić
16 V. Viola
12 T. Rausin
19 T. Dingome
26 L. Vaccaro
29 T. Peyre

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
30 João Carlos
19 M. Tičinović
3 D. Odoi
15 S. Ingason
7 K. Overmeire
21 M. Mirić
20 J. Rassoul
70 Jajá
9 H. Harbaoui
50 S. Bolbat
Bench (7)
25 B. Ňinaj
18 B. Abdurahimi
22 D. Melnjak
1 B. Barry
10 A. Patosi
17 C. Dessers
34 F. Starzyński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.