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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Palermo
T U T T T
2–2
Full-time
Atalanta
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 24%
21%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
52%
42%
Both score Ø 42%
42%
42%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 19. · Atalanta 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 33 25 4 4 +45 79
2 Napoli 34 22 7 5 +43 73
3 Roma 33 18 11 4 +34 65
4 Inter 33 18 7 8 +14 61
5 Fiorentina 33 17 8 8 +18 59
6 Milan 33 14 10 9 +8 52
7 Sassuolo 34 12 13 9 +3 49
8 Lazio 33 13 9 11 +2 48
9 Chievo 33 12 9 12 -2 45
10 Torino 33 11 9 13 -2 42
11 Genoa 33 11 7 15 -3 40
12 Empoli 33 10 9 14 -9 39
13 Sampdoria 34 9 10 15 -4 37
14 Atalanta 33 9 10 14 -7 37
15 Bologna 34 10 7 17 -13 37
16 Udinese 33 9 8 16 -19 35
17 Carpi 33 7 10 16 -18 31
18 Frosinone 33 8 6 19 -30 30
19 Palermo 33 7 7 19 -32 28
20 Verona 33 3 13 17 -28 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Dec -15 Atalanta – Palermo 3–0

Match report

Palermo Atalanta
2′
🟨 Gianpaolo Bellini
1–0 F. Vázquez
2′
11′
M. Borriello 1–1
Ivaylo Chochev 🟨
19′
39′
🟨 Marten de Roon
Half-time 1–1
A. Gilardino 🔁
↦ U. Đurđević
46′
55′
G. Paletta 1–2
L. Cigarini
R. Quaison 🔁
↦ I. Chochev
58′
59′
🔁 A. Diamanti
↦ C. Raimondi
64′
🔁 G. Migliaccio
↦ L. Cigarini
A. Lazaar 🔁
↦ G. Pezzella
73′
74′
🔁 A. Conti
↦ G. Bellini
2–2 Aljaž Struna
76′
Aljaž Struna 🟨
81′
84′
🟨 Rafael Tolói
Mato Jajalo 🟨
90′
Roberto Vitiello 🟥
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Palermo

70 S. Sorrentino G
2 R. Vitiello D
12 G. González D
23 Aljaž Struna D
97 G. Pezzella M
28 M. Jajalo M
20 F. Vázquez M
10 O. Hiljemark M
18 I. Chochev M
8 A. Trajkovski F
99 U. Đurđević F
Bench (12)
11 A. Gilardino
21 R. Quaison
7 A. Lazaar
1 J. Posavec
3 A. Rispoli
4 S. Anđelković
9 A. Bentivegna
16 G. Brugman
24 B. Cristante
25 E. Maresca
53 F. Alastra
77 M. Morganella

Atalanta

57 M. Sportiello G
93 B. Dramé D
29 G. Paletta D
6 G. Bellini D
3 Rafael Tolói D
21 L. Cigarini M
10 A. Gómez F
77 C. Raimondi D
15 M. de Roon M
11 R. Freuler M
22 M. Borriello F
Bench (12)
23 A. Diamanti
8 G. Migliaccio
24 A. Conti
1 B. Radunović
2 G. Stendardo
4 R. Gagliardini
7 M. D'Alessandro
13 S. Gakpé
28 D. Brivio
33 N. Cherubin
45 G. Monachello
55 B. Djimsiti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.