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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Waregem
T T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Charleroi
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 45%
52%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
52%
34%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
52%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 5. · Charleroi 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 29 18 7 4 +37 61
2 Club Brugge 29 16 6 7 +27 54
3 Gent 29 15 8 6 +19 53
4 Oostende 29 15 7 7 +18 52
5 Waregem 29 15 6 8 +12 51
6 Mechelen 30 14 6 10 +5 48
7 Genk 30 14 6 10 +5 48
8 Charleroi 29 11 11 7 +3 44
9 Standard 30 10 12 8 +9 42
10 Lokeren 30 7 10 13 -10 31
11 Kortrijk 30 8 7 15 -17 31
12 St Truiden 30 8 6 16 -13 30
13 Beveren 30 7 9 14 -15 30
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -24 30
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 3 20 -24 24
16 Westerlo 30 5 8 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Charleroi
9′
C. Benavente 0–1
G. Hendrickx
26′
C. Benavente 0–2
M. Fall
Half-time 0–2
R. Mühren 🔁
↦ M. Baudry
46′
1–2 H. Dalsgaard
S. Meïté
56′
61′
🟨 Benjamin Boulenger
72′
🔁 D. Bakar
↦ E. Sağlık
Lukas Lerager 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Martos
A. Bala 🔁
↦ B. Hamalainen
80′
80′
🔁 D. Pollet
↦ C. Benavente
81′
🟨 Djamel Bakar
85′
🔁 F. N'Ganga
↦ M. Fall
2–2 R. Mühren
85′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Waregem

4-2-3-1
25 L. Bostyn G
31 B. Hamalainen D
14 H. Dalsgaard D
3 M. Baudry D
10 O. Kaya M
23 C. Lepoint M
4 L. Marrone M
17 S. Meïté M
8 L. Lerager M
43 S. Coopman M
9 M. Leye F
Bench (7)
21 R. Mühren
7 A. Bala
2 D. De fauw
11 J. Naessens
22 K. Steppe
29 A. Cordaro
30 J. Ankersen

Coach: F. Dury

Charleroi

3-5-2
35 P. Mandanda G
8 Javi Martos D
5 B. Boulenger D
6 G. Zajkov D
25 D. Marcq M
13 C. Diandy M
28 E. Sağlık M
14 C. Benavente M
22 G. Hendrickx M
77 M. Fall M
99 C. Bedia F
Bench (7)
21 D. Bakar
10 D. Pollet
41 F. N'Ganga
1 N. Penneteau
4 E. Poulain
20 N. Rodes
26 M. Di Vita

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.