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Pro League
Referee: Wouters
3–0
Full-time
Eupen
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 20%
17%
22%
Points per game
0,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
61%
78%
Both score Ø 61%
52%
70%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2 Corners 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 16. · Eupen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 17 12 3 2 +16 39
2 Club Brugge 16 12 2 2 +27 38
3 Mechelen 24 11 5 8 +4 38
4 Anderlecht 16 11 3 2 +26 36
5 Standard 24 9 9 6 +12 36
6 Genk 23 10 4 9 -2 34
7 Oostende 15 9 2 4 +13 29
8 Gent 15 8 3 4 +8 27
9 Kortrijk 24 7 6 11 -14 27
10 Charleroi 15 7 5 3 +4 26
11 St Truiden 24 7 5 12 -6 26
12 Lokeren 24 6 7 11 -7 25
13 Eupen 23 5 6 12 -19 21
14 Beveren 23 4 8 11 -14 20
15 Westerlo 24 4 7 13 -23 19
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 23 4 3 16 -25 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Eupen
Mergim Vojvoda 🟨
9′
1–0 D. Matulevičius
F. Marković
21′
Filip Markovic 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 Ibrahima Diallo
2–0 F. Marković
44′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 S. Diédhiou
M. Tirpan
48′
52′
🔁 P. Hackenberg
↦ I. Diallo
52′
🔁 J. Dompé
↦ D. Diagné
54′
🟨 Jeffren Suarez
N. Kabasele 🔁
↦ D. Matulevičius
57′
C. Manea 🔁
↦ F. Marković
70′
74′
🔁 G. Jamabo
↦ J. Amani
L. Stojanović 🔁
↦ D. Mohamed
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-4-2
21 M. Delač
24 N. Gulan
28 J. Huyghebaert
36 D. Arslanagic
23 M. Tirpan
29 T. Peyre
27 M. Vojvoda
11 D. Mohamed
99 D. Matulevičius
7 F. Marković
20 S. Diédhiou
Bench (7)
94 N. Kabasele
6 C. Manea
22 L. Stojanović
8 F. Olinga
19 M. Selak
33 T. Defourmy
34 S. Simič

Coach: M. Rednic

Eupen

4-2-3-1
1 H. Van Crombrugge
22 S. Blondelle D
5 D. Diagné D
3 Fahad Al-Abdulrahman D
2 I. Diallo D
11 A. Bassey M
8 J. Amani
10 Luis García F
9 J. Suárez F
20 M. Sylla F
28 E. Ocansey -
Bench (7)
42 P. Hackenberg
7 J. Dompé
25 G. Jamabo
15 M. Wagué
18 G. Dufour
30 B. Niasse
31 S. Ndiaye

Coach: Jordi Condom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.