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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Vitesse

S S T S U

2–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 19/17 matches

Win Ø 39%

37%

41%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 70%

74%

65%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 7. · AZ Alkmaar 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	19	15	3	1	+38	48
2	Ajax	19	13	4	2	+25	43
3	PSV Eindhoven	20	12	7	1	+21	43
4	Heerenveen	19	9	5	5	+13	32
5	Utrecht	18	8	6	4	+6	30
6	AZ Alkmaar	17	7	8	2	+9	29
7	Vitesse	19	7	6	6	+4	27
8	Twente	19	7	6	6	+2	27
9	Nijmegen	19	6	7	6	-7	25
10	Groningen	19	5	7	7	-1	22
11	Willem II	20	5	7	8	-8	22
12	Heracles	20	5	6	9	-9	21
13	Sparta Rotterdam	20	4	6	10	-9	18
14	Excelsior	20	4	5	11	-15	17
15	Den Haag	19	5	2	12	-16	17
16	Zwolle	19	4	5	10	-22	17
17	Roda	20	2	10	8	-13	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	20	3	4	13	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	10	8	2	0	+23	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
4	Heerenveen	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Twente	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Nijmegen	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	5	1	+4	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Heracles	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Willem II	11	3	4	4	-4	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Den Haag	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Go Ahead Eagles	10	3	1	6	-5	10
16	Groningen	9	2	4	3	-6	10
17	Zwolle	10	2	3	5	-12	9
18	Roda	10	1	5	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	4	0	+14	22
4	Utrecht	9	4	4	1	+4	16
5	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	+6	14
7	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+1	13
8	Groningen	10	3	3	4	+5	12
9	Twente	9	2	3	4	-4	9
10	Willem II	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Nijmegen	9	2	3	4	-9	9
12	Zwolle	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	Roda	10	1	5	4	-10	8
14	Heracles	10	1	4	5	-10	7
15	Den Haag	10	2	1	7	-12	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Excelsior	10	1	2	7	-14	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	10	0	3	7	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.