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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Brann
S U T S S
2–1
Full-time
Sandefjord
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 48%
63%
33%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,08 xG 1,61
63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 2. · Sandefjord 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 7 6 1 0 +13 +3.2 19
2 Brann 8 5 2 1 +8 +8.4 17
3 Fredrikstad 7 4 2 1 +6 +0.6 14
4 Molde 8 4 2 2 +5 +5.8 14
5 Viking 7 3 3 1 +2 +5.2 12
6 Rosenborg 7 3 1 3 -1 -5.3 10
7 Stromsgodset 7 3 1 3 -2 -0.6 10
8 Kristiansund 7 2 3 2 -2 -1.0 9
9 KFUM Oslo 7 2 3 2 -2 +2.1 9
10 Odd 8 2 2 4 -7 -8.8 8
11 Sandefjord 6 2 1 3 +1 +1.5 7
12 Sarpsborg 08 7 2 1 4 -3 -1.8 7
13 Haugesund 7 2 1 4 -4 -2.5 7
14 Lillestrom 7 2 1 4 -6 -3.0 7
15 Ham-Kam 8 0 4 4 -4 +0.7 4
16 Tromso 6 1 0 5 -4 -4.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Sandefjord
Half-time 0–0
B. Finne 🔁
↦ A. Heggebø
46′
1–0 B. Finne
R. Kristiansen
51′
Emil Kornvig 🟨
57′
2–0 E. Kornvig
N. Castro
61′
63′
🔁 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
↦ L. Mettler
63′
🔁 Danilo Al Saed
↦ J. Dunsby
63′
🔁 S. Mørk
↦ Simon Amin
75′
🟨 Aleksander Nilsson
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ O. Didrik Blomberg
78′
81′
🟨 Eman Marković
J. Soltvedt 🔁
↦ F. Knudsen
86′
M. Warming 🔁
↦ N. Castro
90′
S. Kartum 🔁
↦ E. Kornvig
90′
90′
🔁 S. Mathisen
↦ E. Marković
90′
🔁 B. Mvuka
↦ A. Tveter
91′
🟨 Fredrik Carson Pedersen
95′
S. Mathisen 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
13 S. Crone D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
21 R. Kristiansen D
10 E. Kornvig M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
8 F. Myhre M
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
20 A. Heggebø F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (9)
11 B. Finne
14 U. Mathisen
17 J. Soltvedt
7 M. Warming
18 S. Kartum
41 L. Remmem
26 E. Helland
2 M. Hellan
36 E. Holmen Johansen

Coach: E. Horneland

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 H. Keto G
4 F. Pedersen D
2 F. Berglie D
47 S. Kristiansen D
17 C. Cheng D
10 L. Mettler M
18 F. Ottosson M
21 Simon Amin M
27 J. Dunsby F
9 A. Tveter F
7 E. Marković F
Bench (9)
8 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
14 Danilo Al Saed
6 S. Mørk
24 S. Mathisen
45 B. Mvuka
3 V. Egeli
30 A. Grønneberg
99 M. Jarjué
22 M. Gjone

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.