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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Lillestrom
S U S T S
0–2
Full-time
Brann
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,3
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
57%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
33%
29%
Both score Ø 31%
33%
29%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,65 xG 1,41
39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 14. · Brann 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 7 6 1 0 +13 +3.2 19
2 Fredrikstad 7 4 2 1 +6 +0.6 14
3 Brann 7 4 2 1 +6 +7.7 14
4 Molde 8 4 2 2 +5 +5.8 14
5 Viking 7 3 3 1 +2 +5.2 12
6 Rosenborg 7 3 1 3 -1 -5.3 10
7 Stromsgodset 7 3 1 3 -2 -0.6 10
8 Kristiansund 7 2 3 2 -2 -1.0 9
9 KFUM Oslo 7 2 3 2 -2 +2.1 9
10 Odd 8 2 2 4 -7 -8.8 8
11 Sandefjord 6 2 1 3 +1 +1.5 7
12 Sarpsborg 08 7 2 1 4 -3 -1.8 7
13 Haugesund 7 2 1 4 -4 -2.5 7
14 Lillestrom 6 2 1 3 -4 -2.2 7
15 Ham-Kam 8 0 4 4 -4 +0.7 4
16 Tromso 6 1 0 5 -4 -4.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Brann
8′
🟨 Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ruben Gabrielsen 🟨
36′
Martin Owe Roseth 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
K. Tønnessen 🔁
↦ E. Larsson
46′
46′
🔁 J. Soltvedt
↦ F. Knudsen
54′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ U. Mathisen
59′
S. Heltne Nilsen 0–1
J. Soltvedt
M. Lundemo 🔁
↦ A. Karlin
64′
H. Skogvold 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
65′
68′
J. Soltvedt 0–2
F. Myhre
Martin Owe Roseth 🟨
73′
Martin Owe Roseth 🟥
73′
73′
🟨 Emil Kornvig
E. Garnås 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
77′
E. Lucky 🔁
↦ H. Skogvold
80′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-3-3
12 M. Hedenstad G
16 U. Charles D
28 R. Gabrielsen D
3 M. Roseth D
64 E. Larsson D
18 A. Karlin M
7 Y. Ibrahimaj M
23 G. Åsen M
17 E. Kitolano F
10 T. Lehne Olsen F
15 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (9)
19 K. Tønnessen
8 M. Lundemo
33 H. Skogvold
4 E. Garnås
24 E. Lucky
1 S. Hagerup
30 S. Foss
90 E. Furaha
11 F. Elkær

Coach: A. Georgson

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
13 S. Crone D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
21 R. Kristiansen D
10 E. Kornvig M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
8 F. Myhre M
14 U. Mathisen F
20 A. Heggebø F
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
Bench (7)
17 J. Soltvedt
9 N. Castro
26 E. Helland
36 E. Holmen Johansen
18 S. Kartum
2 M. Hellan
7 M. Warming

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.