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Eliteserien

Referee: E Eskås

Fredrikstad

S S U U S

1–0

Full-time

Sandefjord

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,5

2,0

Scored

3,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

25%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,17 xG 1,59

37% Possession 63%

11 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 10. · Sandefjord 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	1	0	+10	+3.0	13
2	Molde	5	3	1	1	+6	+4.0	10
3	Brann	5	3	1	1	+3	+4.5	10
4	Rosenborg	5	3	0	2	+2	-0.4	9
5	Stromsgodset	4	3	0	1	+0	-1.1	9
6	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.5	7
7	Odd	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.9	7
8	Haugesund	4	2	0	2	-2	-2.1	6
9	Lillestrom	4	2	0	2	-3	-0.7	6
10	Fredrikstad	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.0	5
11	KFUM Oslo	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.5	5
12	Viking	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
13	Sandefjord	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.5	1
14	Sarpsborg 08	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.9	1
15	Ham-Kam	5	0	1	4	-4	-1.6	1
16	Tromso	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Molde	3	2	0	1	+5	+4.2	6
2	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
3	Brann	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.2	6
4	Viking	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.2	5
5	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
6	Kristiansund	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
7	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Odd	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
9	Fredrikstad	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.2	1
10	KFUM Oslo	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.1	1
11	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
12	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
13	Tromso	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.3	0
14	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.3	0
15	Haugesund	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.7	0
16	Lillestrom	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.8	9
2	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.5	6
3	Haugesund	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.8	6
4	Odd	3	2	0	1	+0	-4.7	6
5	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.1	6
6	Brann	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
7	Fredrikstad	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.2	4
8	KFUM Oslo	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.3	4
9	Molde	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
10	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.7	3
11	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.5	1
13	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
14	Ham-Kam	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.4	1
15	Viking	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.