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Superligaen

Referee: M Tykgaard

Aarhus

T T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Silkeborg

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Silkeborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

3,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 31%

31%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

45%

55%

Both score Ø 54%

62%

45%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,64 xG 1,31

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Silkeborg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	30	17	8	5	+24	+6.7	59
2	FC Copenhagen	29	18	4	7	+28	+16.8	58
3	Midtjylland	29	18	4	7	+18	+13.2	58
4	Nordsjaelland	30	16	8	6	+26	+4.5	56
5	Aarhus	29	9	11	9	-5	+3.6	38
6	Randers FC	30	9	11	10	-7	+0.6	38
7	Viborg	30	10	7	13	-9	-3.7	37
8	Vejle	30	8	9	13	-5	-18.7	33
9	Silkeborg	29	9	5	15	-10	+6.9	32
10	Lyngby	30	8	8	14	-16	-5.8	32
11	Odense	29	6	8	15	-13	-7.4	26
12	Hvidovre IF	29	4	7	18	-31	-16.6	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	10	3	2	+16	+9.1	33
2	Nordsjaelland	15	9	5	1	+20	+5.7	32
3	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+13	+7.1	30
4	FC Copenhagen	14	9	1	4	+15	+12.8	28
5	Viborg	15	7	4	4	+5	-1.2	25
6	Lyngby	15	5	7	3	+4	+1.2	22
7	Silkeborg	15	6	3	6	+2	+7.9	21
8	Randers FC	15	5	6	4	-1	+3.5	21
9	Vejle	15	5	4	6	+1	-5.6	19
10	Aarhus	14	5	4	5	-3	+3.0	19
11	Hvidovre IF	14	1	2	11	-21	-4.8	5
12	Odense	15	0	3	12	-19	-3.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	9	3	3	+13	+4.0	30
2	Brondby	15	8	5	2	+11	-0.4	29
3	Midtjylland	14	8	1	5	+2	+4.0	25
4	Nordsjaelland	15	7	3	5	+6	-1.2	24
5	Odense	14	6	5	3	+6	-4.0	23
6	Aarhus	15	4	7	4	-2	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	15	4	5	6	-6	-2.9	17
8	Vejle	15	3	5	7	-6	-13.1	14
9	Hvidovre IF	15	3	5	7	-10	-11.7	14
10	Viborg	15	3	3	9	-14	-2.6	12
11	Silkeborg	14	3	2	9	-12	-1.0	11
12	Lyngby	15	3	1	11	-20	-6.9	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.