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Pro League

Referee: Christof Dierick

Standard

U U T U T

3–2

Full-time

Eupen

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Pro League · 14/21 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

71%

62%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

12 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Standard 14. · Eupen 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	13	1	1	+25	40
2	Antwerp	21	9	7	5	+6	34
3	Anderlecht	13	10	2	1	+13	32
4	Charleroi	14	9	4	1	+15	31
5	St Truiden	21	7	8	6	-5	29
6	Kortrijk	21	7	5	9	-6	26
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	22	7	5	10	-9	26
8	Beveren	21	7	4	10	+0	25
9	Lokeren	21	6	6	9	-7	24
10	Gent	13	7	2	4	+10	23
11	Oostende	21	6	4	11	-2	22
12	Waregem	21	6	2	13	-9	20
13	Genk	14	4	7	3	+2	19
14	Standard	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Mechelen	21	4	6	11	-14	18
16	Eupen	21	3	7	11	-18	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	St Truiden	11	6	3	2	+2	21
3	Kortrijk	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	5	3	3	-1	18
5	Beveren	10	5	1	4	+6	16
6	Anderlecht	6	5	0	1	+8	15
7	Charleroi	7	4	3	0	+6	15
8	Antwerp	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Eupen	11	3	4	4	-3	13
10	Gent	6	4	0	2	+6	12
11	Standard	7	3	3	1	+1	12
12	Mechelen	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Lokeren	11	2	4	5	-8	10
14	Waregem	11	3	1	7	-9	10
15	Oostende	10	3	0	7	-4	9
16	Genk	7	1	5	1	+0	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	11	6	3	2	+4	21
2	Anderlecht	7	5	2	0	+5	17
3	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Charleroi	7	5	1	1	+9	16
5	Lokeren	10	4	2	4	+1	14
6	Oostende	11	3	4	4	+2	13
7	Gent	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Genk	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Waregem	10	3	1	6	+0	10
10	Beveren	11	2	3	6	-6	9
11	St Truiden	10	1	5	4	-7	8
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-8	8
13	Kortrijk	10	2	1	7	-12	7
14	Standard	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Mechelen	11	1	3	7	-12	6
16	Eupen	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.