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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Beveren
T S U T T
3–1
Full-time
St Truiden
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
71%
33%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
52%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Beveren 8. · St Truiden 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 15 13 1 1 +25 40
2 Antwerp 21 9 7 5 +6 34
3 Anderlecht 13 10 2 1 +13 32
4 Charleroi 14 9 4 1 +15 31
5 St Truiden 21 7 8 6 -5 29
6 Kortrijk 21 7 5 9 -6 26
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 7 5 10 -9 26
8 Beveren 21 7 4 10 +0 25
9 Lokeren 21 6 6 9 -7 24
10 Gent 13 7 2 4 +10 23
11 Oostende 21 6 4 11 -2 22
12 Standard 15 5 6 4 +0 21
13 Waregem 21 6 2 13 -9 20
14 Genk 14 4 7 3 +2 19
15 Mechelen 21 4 6 11 -14 18
16 Eupen 22 3 7 12 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beveren St Truiden
0–1 D. Goutas
own goal
12′
1–1 A. Boljević
R. Morioka
15′
16′
Vetokele 1–2
J. Legear
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 J. Botaka
↦ S. Bourard
2–2 I. Thelin
59′
Rudy Camacho 🟨
73′
80′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ Y. Boli
80′
🔁 K. Abrahams
↦ J. Legear
T. Dierckx 🔁
↦ A. Boljević
86′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Beveren

4-2-3-1
33 D. Roef G
2 E. Demir D
69 R. Camacho D
21 L. Jans D
23 M. Caufriez D
44 R. Morioka M
24 J. Cools M
52 J. Schrijvers D
22 N. Ampomah M
92 I. Thelin F
7 A. Boljević F
Bench (8)
55 T. Dierckx
3 N. De Schutter
5 Jonathan Buatu
8 F. Marquet
9 R. Mmaee
16 C. Ndiaye
18 M. Goblet
32 O. Myny

Coach: S. Vermant

St Truiden

4-3-3
21 L. Pirard G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
15 S. Kitsiou D
28 D. Goutas D
30 S. Bourard M
6 S. De Petter M
27 J. Legear F
24 C. De Norre D
5 A. De Sart M
14 Vetokele F
11 Y. Boli F
Bench (7)
7 J. Botaka
10 R. Bezus
25 K. Abrahams
1 K. Steppe
12 S. Asamoah
18 F. Antunes
20 D. Dussaut

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.