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La Liga
Referee: Alberto Undiano
Espanol
T U S S U
0–3
Full-time
Sevilla
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
32%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
26%
47%
Both score Ø 37%
37%
37%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 14. · Sevilla 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 16 3 0 +43 51
2 Ath Madrid 19 12 6 1 +20 42
3 Valencia 19 12 4 3 +21 40
4 Real Madrid 18 9 5 4 +15 32
5 Villarreal 19 9 4 6 +5 31
6 Sevilla 19 9 2 8 -5 29
7 Getafe 20 7 6 7 +5 27
8 Betis 19 8 3 8 -3 27
9 Eibar 19 8 3 8 -7 27
10 Ath Bilbao 20 6 8 6 +1 26
11 Girona 19 7 5 7 +0 26
12 Celta 19 7 4 8 +6 25
13 Leganes 18 7 3 8 -2 24
14 Espanol 19 6 6 7 -6 24
15 Sociedad 19 6 5 8 -1 23
16 Levante 19 3 9 7 -11 18
17 Alaves 19 6 0 13 -13 18
18 La Coruna 19 4 4 11 -16 16
19 Malaga 19 3 2 14 -20 11
20 Las Palmas 19 3 2 14 -32 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Sevilla
15′
F. Vázquez 0–1
Javi Fuego 🟨
32′
34′
Pablo Sarabia 0–2
L. Muriel
Léo Baptistão 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–2
Víctor Sánchez 🔁
↦ Javi Fuego
46′
Sergio García 🔁
↦ Óscar Melendo
46′
Javi López 🟨
54′
Marc Navarro 🔁
↦ Javi López
63′
66′
🔁 Jesús Navas
↦ F. Vázquez
71′
🟨 Gabriel Mercado
79′
🔁 J. Geis
↦ J. Correa
83′
🟨 Sergio Escudero
Víctor Sánchez 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 Nolito
↦ É. Banega
90′
L. Muriel 0–3
Pablo Sarabia
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
6 Ó. Duarte D
12 Dídac Vilá D
16 Javi López D
22 Mario Hermoso D
18 Javi Fuego M
15 David López D
25 Sergi Darder M
14 Óscar Melendo M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
4 Víctor Sánchez
9 Sergio García
2 Marc Navarro
1 Pau López
5 Naldo
21 Marc Roca
23 Granero

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Rico G
25 G. Mercado D
18 Sergio Escudero D
2 S. Corchia D
5 C. Lenglet D
10 É. Banega M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
22 F. Vázquez M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
11 J. Correa M
20 L. Muriel F
Bench (7)
16 Jesús Navas
12 J. Geis
24 Nolito
3 L. Carole
9 W. Ben Yedder
13 David Soria
14 G. Pizarro

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.