Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Montpellier
Toulouse
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | +52 | 56 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | +23 | 47 |
| 3 |
Lyon
|
21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | +28 | 45 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +27 | 43 |
| 5 |
Nantes
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | -2 | 34 |
| 6 |
Nice
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 31 |
| 7 |
Guingamp
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 |
Montpellier
|
21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | +4 | 28 |
| 9 |
Rennes
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 |
Caen
|
22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 |
Bordeaux
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 |
Dijon
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 25 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 |
St Etienne
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | -6 | 22 |
| 16 |
Amiens
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -6 | 22 |
| 17 |
Lille
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 |
Troyes
|
21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 |
Toulouse
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -11 | 20 |
| 20 |
Metz
|
21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -18 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Lecomte
G
R. Aguilar
M
E. Skhiri
M
S. Sambia
M
J. Ikoné
M
Coach: M. Der Zakarian
A. Lafont
G
I. Diop
D
I. Sangaré
M
Coach: P. Dupraz
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Amiens
Montpellier
Montpellier
Monaco
Bordeaux
Montpellier
Montpellier
Metz
Angers
Montpellier
Brisard Jerome · 32 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.