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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Gent
T T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Waregem
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cercle Brugge 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Antwerp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Genk 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Anderlecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Charleroi 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Oostende 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Beveren 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Waregem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 St Truiden 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Kortrijk 2 0 1 1 -3 1
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Lokeren 2 0 0 2 -5 0
15 Eupen 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Dec -17 Waregem – Gent 0–1 24. Sep -17 Gent – Waregem 0–1 18. May -17 Gent – Waregem 5–2 25. Apr -17 Waregem – Gent 0–2 15. May -16 Waregem – Gent 4–2

Match report

Gent Waregem
30′
🟨 Marvin Baudry
Birger Verstraete 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
Yuya Kubo ❌
penalty missed
55′
Brecht Dejaegere 🔁
↦ Yuya Kubo
63′
66′
⚽ Timothy Derijck 0–1
Hicham Faik
71′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
Jonathan Christian David 🔁
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
77′
Stallone Limbombe 🔁
↦ Thomas Foket
77′
Stallone Limbombe 🟨
80′
81′
🟨 Hamdi Harbaoui
88′
🔁 Marco Burki
↦ Erdin Demir
Sigurd Rosted 🟨
89′
1–1 Jonathan Christian David ⚽
Igor Plastun
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
92 Colin Coosemans G
32 Thomas Foket M
5 Igor Plastun D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
21 Nana Asare D
6 Birger Verstraete M
31 Yuya Kubo F
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze M
11 Jean-Luc Dompe F
14 Taiwo Awoniyi F
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (8)
20 Yannick Thoelen
29 Thibault De Smet
44 Anderson Esiti
19 Brecht Dejaegere
9 Stallone Limbombe
24 Nicolas Raskin
16 Jonathan Christian David
34 Ahmed Mostafa

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Waregem

4-5-1
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
6 Timothy Derijck D
3 Marvin Baudry D
18 Erdin Demir D
5 Damien Marcq M
8 Hicham Faik M
11 Nill De Pauw F
7 Thomas Buffel F
10 Theo Bongonda M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (8)
25 Louis Bostyn
24 Johan Bjørdal
23 Marco Burki
15 Kingsley Madu
14 Sandy Walsh
20 Henrik Bjørdal
19 Fredrik Jensen
17 Mikael Soisalo

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.