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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Gent
T T U T S
0–1
Full-time
Waregem
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 39%
20%
57%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
40%
86%
Both score Ø 59%
60%
57%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,4
2,6
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 13. · Waregem 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 5 1 2 +2 16
2 St Truiden 8 5 1 2 +1 16
3 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
4 Antwerp 8 4 3 1 +4 15
5 Waregem 7 4 1 2 +10 13
6 Anderlecht 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +5 10
8 Beveren 8 2 3 3 +4 9
9 Kortrijk 8 2 3 3 -3 9
10 Genk 5 2 2 1 +2 8
11 Mechelen 8 1 4 3 -2 7
12 Lokeren 7 2 1 4 -4 7
13 Gent 5 1 1 3 -1 4
14 Eupen 8 1 1 6 -15 4
15 Standard 4 0 2 2 -5 2
16 Oostende 8 0 2 6 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Waregem
3′
I. Šaponjić 0–1
28′
🟨 Peter Oladeji Olayinka
Franko Andrijašević 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
49′
🔁 S. Coopman
↦ J. De Sart
Birger Verstraete 🟨
52′
S. Kalu 🔁
↦ F. Andrijašević
56′
B. Dejaegere 🔁
↦ A. Esiti
56′
D. Machado 🔁
↦ B. Verstraete
57′
64′
🔁 M. Baudry
↦ I. Šaponjić
Deiver Machado 🟨
72′
77′
🟨 Nill De Pauw
Nana Asare 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-3
91 L. Kalinić G
21 N. Asare D
5 N. Dussenne D
2 S. Gigot D
77 D. Miličević M
23 F. Andrijašević M
6 B. Verstraete M
44 A. Esiti M
31 Y. Kubo F
17 R. Yaremchuk F
27 M. Simon F
Bench (10)
18 S. Kalu
19 B. Dejaegere
11 D. Machado
22 D. Bronn
9 M. Sylla
20 Y. Thoelen
24 N. Raskin
25 D. Marcq
33 L. Verstraete
38 S. Horemans

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Waregem

4-2-3-1
24 N. Leali G
6 T. Derijck D
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
4 M. Heylen D
10 O. Kaya M
11 N. De Pauw F
23 J. De Sart M
20 I. Doumbia M
99 P. Olayinka F
33 I. Šaponjić F
Bench (8)
43 S. Coopman
3 M. Baudry
7 A. Leya
8 G. De Mets
14 S. Walsh
25 L. Bostyn
29 A. Cordaro
30 G. Kastanos

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.