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Pro League
Referee: Bert Put
Gent
S T S S T
3–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 49%
67%
31%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
89%
62%
Both score Ø 70%
78%
62%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Kortrijk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 7 2 0 +19 23
2 Genk 9 7 2 0 +17 23
3 Antwerp 9 7 1 1 +8 22
4 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +11 20
5 Gent 9 6 1 2 +10 19
6 St Truiden 13 4 6 3 +2 18
7 Oostende 14 5 3 6 -10 18
8 Charleroi 14 5 2 7 -1 17
9 Kortrijk 13 4 4 5 -2 16
10 Eupen 13 5 1 7 -7 16
11 Cercle Brugge 14 4 4 6 -10 16
12 Standard 9 3 4 2 +3 13
13 Beveren 13 1 8 4 -3 11
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 2 3 9 -11 9
15 Waregem 13 2 3 8 -13 9
16 Lokeren 13 1 4 8 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Kortrijk
20′
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
33′
🟨 Kristof D'Haene
41′
Jovan Stojanovic 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Birger Verstraete 🔁
↦ Franko Andrijašević
53′
54′
🟨 Larry Azouni
1–1 Roman Yaremchuk
Birger Verstraete
55′
Roman Yaremchuk 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 Idir Ouali
↦ Teddy Chevalier
64′
🟨 Charis Charisis
67′
🔁 Ilombe Mboyo
↦ Jovan Stojanovic
2–1 Stallone Limbombe
71′
77′
🔁 Imoh Ezekiel
↦ Hannes Van Der Bruggen
Dylan Bronn 🔁
↦ Arnaud Souquet
86′
3–1 Roman Yaremchuk
88′
Aboubakary Koita 🔁
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
91 Lovre Kalinić G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
5 Igor Plastun D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
21 Nana Asare D
44 Anderson Esiti M
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
23 Franko Andrijašević M
9 Stallone Limbombe M
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze M
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
28 Dylan Bronn
76 Timothy Derijck
6 Birger Verstraete
18 Taiwo Awoniyi
16 Jonathan Christian David
22 Aboubakary Koita

Coach: J. Thorup

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 Thomas Kaminski G
5 Larry Azouni M
15 Christophe Lepoint M
4 Gary Kagelmacher D
30 Kristof D'Haene F
14 Hannes Van Der Bruggen M
23 Julien De Sart M
9 Teddy Chevalier F
21 Charis Charisis M
10 Kanu M
11 Jovan Stojanovic M
Bench (9)
1 Sebastien Bruzzese
29 Andriy Batsula
25 Alioune Camara
13 Brendan Hines-Ike
8 Abdul Ajagun
39 Imoh Ezekiel
2 Bennard Kumordzi
27 Idir Ouali
7 Ilombe Mboyo

Coach: G. De Boeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bert Put · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.