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Premier League
Referee: M Oliver
Wolves
T U T U T
2–3
Full-time
West Brom
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,2
This season — Premier League · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 20%
33%
6%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
44%
47%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
41%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

67% Possession 33%
23 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 14. · West Brom 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 17 11 3 3 +10 36
2 Liverpool 17 9 6 2 +16 33
3 Man City 16 9 5 2 +12 32
4 Leicester 17 10 2 5 +10 32
5 Everton 17 10 2 5 +7 32
6 Tottenham 17 8 6 3 +14 30
7 Southampton 17 8 5 4 +7 29
8 Aston Villa 15 8 2 5 +13 26
9 Chelsea 17 7 5 5 +11 26
10 West Ham 17 7 5 5 +3 26
11 Arsenal 18 7 3 8 +1 24
12 Leeds 17 7 2 8 -3 23
13 Crystal Palace 18 6 5 7 -7 23
14 Wolves 18 6 4 8 -7 22
15 Newcastle 17 5 4 8 -9 19
16 Burnley 16 4 4 8 -12 16
17 Brighton 18 2 8 8 -8 14
18 Fulham 16 2 6 8 -10 12
19 West Brom 17 1 5 11 -28 8
20 Sheffield United 18 1 2 15 -20 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves West Brom
8′
ℹ️ Callum Robinson
VAR: Goal cancelled
8′
Matheus Pereira 0–1
36′
🟨 Semi Ajayi
1–1 Fábio Silva
W. Boly
38′
2–1 W. Boly
43′
Half-time 2–2
52′
S. Ajayi 2–2
K. Bartley
56′
Matheus Pereira 2–3
M. Gibbs-White 🔁
↦ Rúben Neves
60′
R. Aït Nouri 🔁
↦ C. Coady
64′
69′
🔁 H. Robson-Kanu
↦ K. Grosicki
Leander Dendoncker 🟨
73′
P. Cutrone 🔁
↦ João Moutinho
79′
82′
🔁 D. Furlong
↦ Matheus Pereira
Fábio Silva 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Wolves

4-3-3
11 Rui Patrício G
15 W. Boly D
16 C. Coady D
22 Nélson Semedo D
28 João Moutinho M
27 R. Saïss D
32 L. Dendoncker M
8 Rúben Neves M
37 Adama Traoré F
7 Pedro Neto F
17 Fábio Silva F
Bench (9)
18 M. Gibbs-White
3 R. Aït Nouri
23 P. Cutrone
38 M. Shabani
60 T. Corbeanu
49 M. Kilman
20 Vitinha
21 J. Ruddy
2 K. Hoever

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

West Brom

4-2-3-1
25 D. Button G
3 K. Gibbs D
5 K. Bartley D
6 S. Ajayi D
27 D. O'Shea D
13 K. Grosicki M
23 R. Snodgrass M
8 J. Livermore M
19 R. Sawyers M
7 C. Robinson F
12 Matheus Pereira M
Bench (9)
4 H. Robson-Kanu
2 D. Furlong
20 B. Ivanović
24 C. Kipre
22 L. Peltier
31 A. Lonergan
17 F. Krovinović
28 S. Field
21 K. Edwards

Coach: S. Allardyce

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,61
U
3,67
B ✓
6,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.