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Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Watford
S U S T S
3–1
Full-time
Blackburn
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
0%
60%
Both score Ø 10%
0%
20%
Average goals
0,8
3,0
Scored
0,6
2,2
Conceded
0,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

34% Possession 66%
10 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
24 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 6. · Blackburn 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reading 6 5 1 0 +7 16
2 Bristol City 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Bournemouth 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Millwall 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Watford 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Norwich 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Huddersfield 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Middlesbrough 6 2 3 1 +1 9
10 Luton 6 3 0 3 -1 9
11 Stoke 5 2 2 1 +1 8
12 Sheffield Weds 5 2 2 1 +1 8
13 Blackburn 5 2 1 2 +7 7
14 Brentford 5 2 1 2 +2 7
15 Cardiff 5 2 1 2 +0 7
16 QPR 5 1 3 1 +1 6
17 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6
18 Birmingham 6 1 3 2 -1 6
19 Coventry 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Preston 5 1 1 3 -1 4
21 Nott'm Forest 6 1 1 4 -5 4
22 Derby 6 1 0 5 -8 3
23 Barnsley 5 0 2 3 -4 2
24 Wycombe 6 0 0 6 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Watford Blackburn
1–0 João Pedro
Kiko Femenía
13′
2–0 T. Cleverley
17′
Christian Kabasele 🟨
22′
28′
B. Brereton 2–1
A. Armstrong
Half-time 2–2
2–2 D. Lenihan
own goal
49′
E. Capoue 🔁
↦ T. Cleverley
61′
66′
🔁 S. Wharton
↦ Daniel Ayala
70′
🔁 T. Trybull
↦ C. Evans
J. Ngakia 🔁
↦ Kiko Femenía
71′
Jeremy Ngakia 🟨
75′
77′
🔁 T. Dolan
↦ B. Brereton
João Pedro 🟨
84′
Domingos Quina 🔁
↦ I. Sarr
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Watford

3-5-2
1 B. Foster G
15 C. Cathcart D
27 C. Kabasele D
21 Kiko Femenía M
6 B. Wilmot D
8 T. Cleverley M
14 N. Chalobah M
12 K. Sema M
16 J. Garner M
23 I. Sarr F
10 João Pedro F
Bench (7)
29 E. Capoue
3 J. Ngakia
20 Domingos Quina
17 G. Murray
25 S. Perica
5 W. Troost-Ekong
26 D. Bachmann

Coach: V. Ivić

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
5 Daniel Ayala D
26 D. Lenihan D
17 A. Bell D
2 R. Nyambe D
4 B. Johnson M
10 L. Holtby M
29 C. Evans M
16 H. Elliott F
7 A. Armstrong F
20 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
28 S. Wharton
19 T. Trybull
39 T. Dolan
15 B. Douglas
24 J. Rankin-Costello
13 A. Pears
21 J. Buckley

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,36
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Woolmer · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.