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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

T T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 2

6 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 1

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Erzgebirge Aue 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Erzgebirge Aue	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Hannover	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Regensburg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Sandhausen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	St Pauli	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Osnabruck	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Bochum	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Darmstadt	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Heidenheim	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Braunschweig	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Greuther Furth	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Karlsruhe	4	1	0	3	-1	3
18	Wurzburger Kickers	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sandhausen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Regensburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Braunschweig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Osnabruck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Bochum	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Darmstadt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Erzgebirge Aue	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Greuther Furth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Regensburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Osnabruck	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Hannover	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Karlsruhe	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.