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Premier League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Tottenham
T S T T U
3–1
Full-time
Aston Villa
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
31 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Mar -16 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–2 2. Nov -15 Tottenham – Aston Villa 3–1

Match report

Tottenham Aston Villa
9′
⚽ J. McGinn 0–1
T. Mings
Half-time 0–1
59′
🔁 Jota Peleteiro
↦ Trézéguet
C. Eriksen 🔁
↦ H. Winks
64′
1–1 T. Ndombèlé ⚽
Lucas Moura
73′
74′
🔁 J. Kodjia
↦ Wesley
82′
🔁 Douglas Luiz
↦ C. Hourihane
2–1 H. Kane ⚽
86′
Érik Lamela 🟨
87′
G. N'Koudou 🔁
↦ E. Lamela
88′
3–1 H. Kane ⚽
M. Sissoko
90′
O. Skipp 🔁
↦ T. Ndombèlé
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-1-2
1 H. Lloris G
3 D. Rose D
4 T. Alderweireld D
6 D. Sánchez D
16 K. Walker-Peters D
17 M. Sissoko M
11 E. Lamela M
27 Lucas Moura F
8 H. Winks M
28 T. Ndombèlé M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
23 C. Eriksen
14 G. N'Koudou
29 O. Skipp
12 V. Wanyama
24 S. Aurier
15 E. Dier
22 P. Gazzaniga

Coach: M. Pochettino

Aston Villa

4-1-4-1
1 T. Heaton G
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
3 N. Taylor D
22 B. Engels D
40 T. Mings D
14 C. Hourihane M
10 J. Grealish M
17 Trézéguet M
7 J. McGinn M
21 A. El Ghazi M
9 Wesley F
Bench (7)
23 Jota Peleteiro
26 J. Kodjia
6 Douglas Luiz
15 E. Konsa
8 H. Lansbury
18 M. Targett
12 J. Steer

Coach: D. Smith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
🔒
U
5,53
🔒
B
10,51
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
U2,5
2,26
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.