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Championship
Referee: D Webb
West Brom
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Millwall
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 4. · Millwall 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 QPR 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Reading 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Millwall
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 S. Ferguson
↦ M. Romeo
1–0 K. Bartley
M. Phillips
57′
H. Robson-Kanu 🔁
↦ K. Zohorè
58′
62′
🟨 Jed Wallace
64′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ M. Wallace
Semi Ajayi 🟨
67′
69′
🟨 Ben Thompson
74′
🔁 J. Böðvarsson
↦ T. Bradshaw
75′
M. Smith 1–1
O. Burke 🔁
↦ J. Livermore
80′
C. Brunt 🔁
↦ M. Phillips
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 S. Johnstone G
3 K. Gibbs D
5 K. Bartley D
6 S. Ajayi D
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
19 R. Sawyers M
7 F. Krovinović M
21 K. Edwards M
36 N. Ferguson D
9 K. Zohorè F
Bench (7)
4 H. Robson-Kanu
17 O. Burke
11 C. Brunt
16 R. Harper
23 J. Bond
27 D. O'Shea
14 C. Townsend

Coach: S. Bilić

Millwall

4-4-1-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
15 A. Pearce D
3 M. Wallace D
12 M. Romeo D
5 J. Cooper D
6 S. Williams M
18 R. Leonard M
7 J. Wallace M
21 C. Mahoney M
8 B. Thompson F
9 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (7)
11 S. Ferguson
10 M. Smith
23 J. Böðvarsson
4 S. Hutchinson
22 A. O'Brien
14 L. Steele
26 J. Skalák

Coach: N. Harris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U ✓
3,48
B
4,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.