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Eredivisie
Referee: Christaan Bax
Groningen
S T S T S
1–3
Full-time
Twente
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 6. · Twente 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Willem II 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Ajax 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Feyenoord 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Twente 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 PSV Eindhoven 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Twente
Ko Itakura 🟨
41′
Ramon-Pascal Lundqvist 🟥
41′
Mike te Wierik 🟥
45′
Half-time 0–0
Amir Absalem 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 Julio Pleguezuelo
↦ P. Verhaegh
55′
K. Nakamura 0–1
C. Benschop 🔁
↦ K. Sierhuis
62′
64′
🟨 Javi Espinosa
70′
Aitor Cantalapiedra 0–2
76′
🔁 R. Zekhnini
↦ K. Nakamura
D. Warmerdam 🔁
↦ G. Gudmundsson
80′
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ A. Hrustic
80′
Azor Matusiwa 🟨
83′
83′
🔁 G. Aburjania
↦ L. Selahi
1–2 R. Doan
84′
85′
🟨 Giorgi Aburjania
96′
H. Vučkič 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
42 D. Zeefuik D
17 K. Itakura D
20 A. Absalem D
23 A. Hrustic M
10 R. Lundqvist M
6 A. Matusiwa M
7 R. Doan M
9 K. Sierhuis F
15 G. Gudmundsson M
Bench (12)
35 C. Benschop
21 D. Warmerdam
14 M. El Hankouri
22 M. Breij
16 J. Hoekstra
26 D. van Kaam
27 T. Dallinga
28 T. Sopacua
8 S. Schreck
36 T. van de Looi
3 B. van Hintum
32 M. van Duin

Coach: D. Buijs

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
2 P. Verhaegh D
3 X. Schenk D
12 José Matos D
25 P. Bijen D
10 H. Vučkič F
8 Javier Espinosa M
29 G. Roemeratoe M
18 L. Selahi M
7 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
13 K. Nakamura F
Bench (8)
5 Julio Pleguezuelo
14 R. Zekhnini
21 G. Aburjania
9 T. Boere
32 J. Bosch
26 J. Brondeel
22 J. de Lange
31 R. Zerrouki

Coach: Gonzalo García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U
3,55
B ✓
3,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.