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Premier League
Referee: Craig Pawson
Watford
S U T T T
0–3
Full-time
Brighton
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U
3,41
B ✓
4,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Craig Pawson · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.