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Premier League
Referee: Graham Scott
Burnley
S U T T T
3–0
Full-time
Southampton
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
5 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Feb -19 Burnley – Southampton 1–1 12. Aug -18 Southampton – Burnley 0–0 24. Feb -18 Burnley – Southampton 1–1 4. Nov -17 Southampton – Burnley 0–1 14. Jan -17 Burnley – Southampton 1–0

Match report

Burnley Southampton
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Barnes ⚽
E. Pieters
63′
66′
🔁 M. Obafemi
↦ D. Ings
2–0 A. Barnes ⚽
E. Pieters
70′
73′
🔁 P. Højbjerg
↦ J. Stephens
73′
🔁 S. Boufal
↦ C. Adams
3–0 J. Guðmunds­son ⚽
75′
J. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ A. Barnes
84′
A. Lennon 🔁
↦ D. McNeil
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-2
1 N. Pope G
23 E. Pieters D
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
4 J. Cork M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
18 A. Westwood M
10 A. Barnes F
9 C. Wood F
11 D. McNeil M
Bench (7)
19 J. Rodriguez
25 A. Lennon
13 J. Hendrick
28 K. Long
20 J. Hart
26 P. Bardsley
14 B. Gibson

Coach: S. Dyche

Southampton

3-4-2-1
28 A. Gunn G
21 R. Bertrand M
4 J. Vestergaard D
5 J. Stephens D
35 J. Bednarek D
43 Y. Valery M
14 Oriol Romeu M
22 N. Redmond F
16 J. Ward-Prowse M
9 D. Ings F
10 C. Adams F
Bench (7)
20 M. Obafemi
23 P. Højbjerg
19 S. Boufal
3 M. Yoshida
12 M. Djenepo
2 Cédric Soares
1 A. McCarthy

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,68
🔒
U
3,22
🔒
B
2,78
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,12
🔒
U2,5
1,73
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.