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2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg
T T U T T
2–2
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 29%
19%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
56%
69%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 4
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 16. · Holstein Kiel 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bielefeld 17 9 7 1 +17 34
2 Hamburg 16 8 5 3 +17 29
3 Stuttgart 16 9 2 5 +6 29
4 Heidenheim 17 7 6 4 +7 27
5 Erzgebirge Aue 17 7 5 5 +1 26
6 Greuther Furth 17 7 4 6 +3 25
7 Osnabruck 16 6 5 5 +5 23
8 Regensburg 17 6 5 6 +3 23
9 Sandhausen 16 5 7 4 +1 22
10 Holstein Kiel 16 6 3 7 -1 21
11 Bochum 17 4 8 5 -1 20
12 Karlsruhe 17 4 8 5 -6 20
13 Hannover 17 5 5 7 -8 20
14 Darmstadt 16 4 7 5 -5 19
15 St Pauli 17 4 6 7 -2 18
16 Nurnberg 16 3 6 7 -10 15
17 Wehen 17 3 5 9 -15 14
18 Dresden 16 3 4 9 -12 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U ✓
3,55
B
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,36
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.