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Serie B

Cremonese

T S U U T

2–1

Full-time

Perugia

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,3

3,3

Scored

0,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

27%

40%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

20%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

40%

53%

Average goals

1,8

2,6

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

19 Shots 17

9 Shots on target 6

4 Corners 4

19 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cremonese 16. · Perugia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Frosinone	16	7	5	4	+7	26
3	Pordenone	15	7	4	4	+5	25
4	Virtus Entella	16	7	4	5	+3	25
5	Cittadella	16	7	4	5	+0	25
6	Ascoli	16	7	3	6	+5	24
7	Chievo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
8	Perugia	15	6	5	4	-1	23
9	Crotone	15	6	4	5	+5	22
10	Pescara	16	6	3	7	+1	21
11	Empoli	16	5	6	5	-4	21
12	Pisa	15	5	5	5	+1	20
13	Spezia	16	5	5	6	+1	20
14	Salernitana	15	5	4	6	-2	19
15	Venezia	16	4	7	5	-2	19
16	Cremonese	15	4	5	6	-7	17
17	Juve Stabia	16	5	2	9	-10	17
18	Cosenza	15	2	8	5	-1	14
19	Trapani	15	3	4	8	-12	13
20	Livorno	16	3	2	11	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Frosinone	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Pordenone	8	6	2	0	+11	20
4	Ascoli	8	6	1	1	+8	19
5	Virtus Entella	8	5	2	1	+5	17
6	Crotone	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Empoli	8	4	3	1	+5	15
8	Chievo	8	4	3	1	+4	15
9	Perugia	8	4	3	1	+4	15
10	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+4	14
11	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+0	14
12	Pescara	8	3	3	2	+5	12
13	Spezia	8	3	2	3	+2	11
14	Cremonese	7	3	2	2	+0	11
15	Salernitana	7	2	4	1	+1	10
16	Juve Stabia	8	3	1	4	-4	10
17	Livorno	8	3	0	5	-3	9
18	Venezia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cosenza	7	1	4	2	+0	7
20	Trapani	7	1	3	3	-2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	8	4	3	1	+3	15
2	Venezia	8	2	5	1	+2	11
3	Cittadella	8	3	2	3	+0	11
4	Spezia	8	2	3	3	-1	9
5	Chievo	8	2	3	3	-1	9
6	Salernitana	8	3	0	5	-3	9
7	Pescara	8	3	0	5	-4	9
8	Virtus Entella	8	2	2	4	-2	8
9	Perugia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
10	Cosenza	8	1	4	3	-1	7
11	Crotone	7	2	1	4	-1	7
12	Juve Stabia	8	2	1	5	-6	7
13	Trapani	8	2	1	5	-10	7
14	Pisa	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Frosinone	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Cremonese	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Empoli	8	1	3	4	-9	6
18	Ascoli	8	1	2	5	-3	5
19	Pordenone	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Livorno	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.