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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Sevilla

U S S S U

1–2

Full-time

Villarreal

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

56%

31%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 57%

44%

69%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%

24 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

14 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Villarreal 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	11	2	3	+23	35
2	Real Madrid	15	10	4	1	+21	34
3	Sevilla	16	9	4	3	+5	31
4	Getafe	17	8	6	3	+10	30
5	Ath Madrid	17	7	8	2	+8	29
6	Sociedad	17	8	4	5	+8	28
7	Ath Bilbao	17	7	6	4	+7	27
8	Valencia	16	7	5	4	+3	26
9	Granada	17	7	3	7	+2	24
10	Osasuna	17	5	8	4	+2	23
11	Levante	17	7	2	8	-4	23
12	Betis	17	6	5	6	-5	23
13	Villarreal	16	5	4	7	+4	19
14	Alaves	17	5	4	8	-6	19
15	Valladolid	17	4	7	6	-6	19
16	Eibar	17	4	4	9	-13	16
17	Mallorca	17	4	3	10	-12	15
18	Celta	17	3	5	9	-11	14
19	Leganes	17	2	4	11	-16	10
20	Espanol	17	2	4	11	-20	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+14	20
3	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Getafe	9	5	3	1	+10	18
5	Ath Madrid	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Betis	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Valencia	8	4	4	0	+6	16
8	Granada	9	5	1	3	+5	16
9	Alaves	9	4	3	2	+6	15
10	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+8	14
11	Sevilla	7	4	2	1	+4	14
12	Levante	8	4	2	2	+3	14
13	Mallorca	9	4	2	3	+2	14
14	Villarreal	8	3	4	1	+7	13
15	Osasuna	8	3	4	1	+4	13
16	Valladolid	7	2	4	1	+4	10
17	Celta	9	2	3	4	-4	9
18	Eibar	8	3	0	5	-7	9
19	Leganes	9	2	1	6	-6	7
20	Espanol	9	0	2	7	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	9	5	2	2	+1	17
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Barcelona	9	4	2	3	+2	14
4	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+0	14
5	Getafe	8	3	3	2	+0	12
6	Ath Madrid	8	2	5	1	+1	11
7	Osasuna	9	2	4	3	-2	10
8	Valencia	8	3	1	4	-3	10
9	Levante	9	3	0	6	-7	9
10	Valladolid	10	2	3	5	-10	9
11	Granada	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Espanol	8	2	2	4	-7	8
13	Ath Bilbao	8	1	4	3	-3	7
14	Eibar	9	1	4	4	-6	7
15	Villarreal	8	2	0	6	-3	6
16	Betis	8	1	3	4	-9	6
17	Celta	8	1	2	5	-7	5
18	Alaves	8	1	1	6	-12	4
19	Leganes	8	0	3	5	-10	3
20	Mallorca	8	0	1	7	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.