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Superligaen

Midtjylland

S S S S S

1–3

Full-time

Aarhus

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

This season — Superligaen · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 69%

84%

53%

Points per game

2,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

47%

58%

Both score Ø 53%

47%

58%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,6

Conceded

0,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Midtjylland 1. · Aarhus 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	19	16	2	1	+21	50
2	FC Copenhagen	19	14	1	4	+14	43
3	Aarhus	19	10	3	6	+10	33
4	Brondby	20	10	2	8	+8	32
5	Randers FC	20	9	3	8	+7	30
6	Aalborg	20	8	4	8	+7	28
7	Nordsjaelland	20	8	4	8	+4	28
8	Lyngby	20	8	4	8	-7	28
9	Odense	19	8	3	8	+6	27
10	Horsens	20	7	4	9	-14	25
11	Sonderjyske	20	5	7	8	-10	22
12	Hobro	20	2	11	7	-7	17
13	Esbjerg	20	3	4	13	-18	13
14	Silkeborg	20	2	4	14	-21	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	9	8	1	0	+14	25
2	Randers FC	10	7	2	1	+13	23
3	Brondby	11	7	1	3	+8	22
4	Midtjylland	9	7	1	1	+8	22
5	Lyngby	11	7	1	3	+0	22
6	Aarhus	10	6	1	3	+8	19
7	Odense	10	5	2	3	+7	17
8	Nordsjaelland	9	5	2	2	+7	17
9	Aalborg	10	5	2	3	+6	17
10	Horsens	10	5	1	4	-7	16
11	Sonderjyske	10	3	3	4	-5	12
12	Hobro	10	1	7	2	-3	10
13	Esbjerg	10	2	3	5	-4	9
14	Silkeborg	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	9	1	0	+13	28
2	FC Copenhagen	10	6	0	4	+0	18
3	Aarhus	9	4	2	3	+2	14
4	Aalborg	10	3	2	5	+1	11
5	Nordsjaelland	11	3	2	6	-3	11
6	Brondby	9	3	1	5	+0	10
7	Odense	9	3	1	5	-1	10
8	Sonderjyske	10	2	4	4	-5	10
9	Horsens	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Hobro	10	1	4	5	-4	7
11	Randers FC	10	2	1	7	-6	7
12	Lyngby	9	1	3	5	-7	6
13	Silkeborg	11	1	3	7	-11	6
14	Esbjerg	10	1	1	8	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.