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Bundesliga

Referee: F Ouschan

Tirol

T T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Mattersburg

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Mattersburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

3,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-2,8

-1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 18%

18%

Points per game

0,7

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

59%

76%

Both score Ø 65%

65%

Average goals

3,7

3,9

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

2,6

2,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

20 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 11. · Mattersburg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	18	13	5	0	+48	44
2	LASK	17	13	2	2	+21	41
3	SK Rapid	18	9	5	4	+17	32
4	Wolfsberger AC	17	9	3	5	+18	30
5	Hartberg	18	8	4	6	-4	28
6	Sturm Graz	17	8	3	6	+10	27
7	Austria Vienna	17	5	5	7	-3	20
8	Altach	18	6	1	11	-9	19
9	St. Polten	18	3	6	9	-26	15
10	Admira	18	3	5	10	-21	14
11	Tirol	17	3	3	11	-25	12
12	Mattersburg	17	3	2	12	-26	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	8	1	0	+30	25
2	Hartberg	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	2	3	+9	14
4	LASK	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Austria Vienna	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Sturm Graz	9	4	1	4	+2	13
7	SK Rapid	9	2	4	3	+2	10
8	Altach	9	3	1	5	-2	10
9	Admira	9	1	3	5	-8	6
10	St. Polten	9	1	3	5	-14	6
11	Mattersburg	9	1	1	7	-14	4
12	Tirol	8	1	1	6	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	9	9	0	0	+16	27
2	SK Rapid	9	7	1	1	+15	22
3	Salzburg	9	5	4	0	+18	19
4	Wolfsberger AC	8	5	1	2	+9	16
5	Sturm Graz	8	4	2	2	+8	14
6	Hartberg	9	3	2	4	-9	11
7	Altach	9	3	0	6	-7	9
8	St. Polten	9	2	3	4	-12	9
9	Tirol	9	2	2	5	-10	8
10	Admira	9	2	2	5	-13	8
11	Austria Vienna	9	1	4	4	-6	7
12	Mattersburg	8	2	1	5	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.