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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Bordeaux
U S U S T
0–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
41%
35%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
41%
Both score Ø 47%
59%
35%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 7. · Strasbourg 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 16 13 0 3 +26 39
2 Marseille 18 10 5 3 +6 35
3 Lille 18 9 4 5 +7 31
4 Nantes 18 9 2 7 +0 29
5 Reims 17 7 6 4 +6 27
6 Rennes 16 8 3 5 +5 27
7 Bordeaux 17 7 5 5 +8 26
8 Lyon 17 7 4 6 +12 25
9 Monaco 17 7 4 6 +1 25
10 St Etienne 17 7 4 6 -2 25
11 Angers 18 7 4 7 -3 25
12 Montpellier 18 6 6 6 +3 24
13 Nice 18 7 3 8 -2 24
14 Brest 18 5 7 6 +1 22
15 Strasbourg 17 6 3 8 -3 21
16 Dijon 18 4 5 9 -8 17
17 Amiens 17 4 5 8 -12 17
18 Metz 18 3 7 8 -11 16
19 Toulouse 18 3 3 12 -17 12
20 Nimes 17 2 6 9 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Strasbourg
11′
L. Ajorque 0–1
42′
🟨 Adrien Thomasson
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Alexander Djiku
J. Briand 🔁
↦ Y. Adli
61′
Jimmy Briand 🟨
63′
Edson Mexer 🟨
69′
S. Kalu 🔁
↦ Mexer
72′
Hwang Ui-jo 🔁
↦ J. Maja
76′
76′
🔁 D. Liénard
↦ B. Corgnet
Otávio 🟨
81′
84′
🔁 L. Zohi
↦ A. Thomasson
94′
🔁 Nuno Da Costa
↦ L. Ajorque
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

3-4-2-1
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
4 Mexer D
23 L. Benito M
3 Pablo D
17 Y. Aït Bennasser M
5 Otávio M
19 Y. Adli F
12 N. de Préville F
11 F. Kamano M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (7)
7 J. Briand
10 S. Kalu
18 Hwang Ui-jo
26 T. Bašić
8 A. Tchouaméni
14 V. Jovanović
16 G. Poussin

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Strasbourg

3-4-2-1
1 M. Sels G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole M
27 K. Lala M
24 A. Djiku D
10 B. Corgnet F
26 A. Thomasson F
18 I. Sissoko M
22 Y. Fofana M
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (7)
11 D. Liénard
20 L. Zohi
29 Nuno Da Costa
30 B. Kamara
19 A. Caci
3 A. N'Dour
33 A. Lebeau

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,17
B ✓
3,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.