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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Heidenheim

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Heidenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 25

7 Shots on target 10

2 Corners 6

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 8. · Heidenheim 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Holstein Kiel	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Hannover	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Sandhausen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
5	Osnabruck	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Regensburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Bochum	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	St Pauli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Darmstadt	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Heidenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Braunschweig	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Greuther Furth	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Karlsruhe	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sandhausen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Regensburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Braunschweig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Osnabruck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Bochum	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Darmstadt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Wurzburger Kickers	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Erzgebirge Aue	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Greuther Furth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
6	Osnabruck	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Karlsruhe	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.