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2. Bundesliga
St Pauli
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/29 matches
Win Ø 46%
40%
52%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
63%
69%
Both score Ø 61%
60%
62%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

14 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 4
15 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 7. · Greuther Furth 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bochum 30 19 3 8 +23 60
2 Greuther Furth 29 15 9 5 +22 54
3 Hamburg 29 14 8 7 +21 50
4 Holstein Kiel 27 14 7 6 +16 49
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 30 14 7 9 +6 49
6 Heidenheim 31 14 6 11 +4 48
7 St Pauli 30 12 8 10 +2 44
8 Karlsruhe 28 12 7 9 +6 43
9 Paderborn 31 11 10 10 +5 43
10 Erzgebirge Aue 30 11 7 12 -2 40
11 Hannover 29 11 6 12 +6 39
12 Darmstadt 30 11 6 13 +0 39
13 Nurnberg 30 10 9 11 -3 39
14 Regensburg 29 8 10 11 -9 34
15 Braunschweig 31 7 9 15 -24 30
16 Sandhausen 28 8 4 16 -17 28
17 Osnabruck 31 7 6 18 -25 27
18 Wurzburger Kickers 31 5 6 20 -31 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,89
U
3,63
B
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.